Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.409719e-05 4.042210e-05 0.000047 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084
2025-02-23 2.627687e-05 3.459410e-05 0.000044 0.000056 0.000070 0.000086 0.000105
2025-03-02 1.881569e-05 2.750015e-05 0.000038 0.000052 0.000070 0.000090 0.000116
2025-03-09 1.408599e-05 2.276061e-05 0.000034 0.000050 0.000070 0.000095 0.000128
2025-03-16 1.085675e-05 1.934547e-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000071 0.000101 0.000139
2025-03-23 8.617185e-06 1.688421e-05 0.000029 0.000048 0.000073 0.000107 0.000152
2025-03-30 6.737894e-06 1.458585e-05 0.000027 0.000046 0.000074 0.000111 0.000163
2025-04-06 5.106009e-06 1.233495e-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000114 0.000171
2025-04-13 3.579094e-06 9.884203e-06 0.000021 0.000041 0.000071 0.000113 0.000174
2025-04-20 2.682445e-06 8.402339e-06 0.000019 0.000039 0.000070 0.000115 0.000181
2025-04-27 2.110865e-06 7.444852e-06 0.000018 0.000039 0.000072 0.000120 0.000192
2025-05-04 1.755939e-06 6.886220e-06 0.000018 0.000039 0.000074 0.000127 0.000206
2025-05-11 1.607408e-06 6.966356e-06 0.000019 0.000043 0.000083 0.000144 0.000237
2025-05-18 1.221139e-06 6.252299e-06 0.000019 0.000044 0.000088 0.000155 0.000260
2025-05-25 6.974601e-07 4.762070e-06 0.000016 0.000041 0.000086 0.000156 0.000268
2025-06-01 4.024023e-07 3.755879e-06 0.000014 0.000039 0.000085 0.000160 0.000279
2025-06-08 2.292751e-07 3.027427e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000085 0.000164 0.000293
2025-06-15 1.303786e-07 2.508480e-06 0.000012 0.000037 0.000087 0.000171 0.000310
2025-06-22 6.403815e-08 2.015869e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000176 0.000324
2025-06-29 2.396339e-08 1.541346e-06 0.000010 0.000034 0.000086 0.000178 0.000334
2025-07-06 4.274151e-09 1.053139e-06 0.000008 0.000031 0.000083 0.000176 0.000337
2025-07-13 4.848268e-10 7.873697e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000082 0.000179 0.000348
2025-07-20 1.253446e-11 6.288432e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000084 0.000185 0.000364